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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Northern Kentucky

Conference:Horz
Expected RPI:296.0
Current RPI:296
Expected SOS:187
Current Record:7-21
Expected Record:7-21
Current Conf Record:5-14
Expected Conf Record:5-14
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-9
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:5-7
Current OOC Record:2-7
Expected OOC Record:2-7
Expected OOC RPI:287
Expected OOC SOS:170


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
7-2125.00%296.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Northern Kentucky.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13West Virginia (10.0)B12A107-61L0%0.0
11-21Morehead St. (127.0)OVCH56-64L0%0.0
11-23Xavier (7.0)BEA78-66L0%0.0
11-30North Carolina A&T (340.0)MEACA74-63L0%0.0
12-5Eastern Illinois (271.0)OVCA79-73L0%0.0
12-13Norfolk St. (225.0)MEACH81-60W100%0.0
12-15Michigan (56.0)B10A77-62L0%0.0
12-19Southeast Missouri St. (342.0)OVCH79-69W100%0.0
12-30Toledo (182.0)MACA90-73L0%0.0
1-2Green Bay (112.0)HorzA86-70L0%0.0
1-4Milwaukee (173.0)HorzA76-67L0%0.0
1-9Wright St. (146.0)HorzH46-60L0%0.0
1-14Youngstown St. (275.0)HorzH84-64W100%0.0
1-16Cleveland St. (278.0)HorzH65-70L0%0.0
1-19Oakland (116.0)HorzA73-90W100%0.0
1-22Illinois Chicago (346.0)HorzH82-69W100%0.0
1-24Valparaiso (49.0)HorzH46-71L0%0.0
1-29Detroit (204.0)HorzA83-91W100%0.0
2-1Oakland (116.0)HorzH74-85L0%0.0
2-4Green Bay (112.0)HorzH78-85L0%0.0
2-6Milwaukee (173.0)HorzH75-71W100%0.0
2-11Valparaiso (49.0)HorzA64-52L0%0.0
2-13Illinois Chicago (346.0)HorzA79-77L0%0.0
2-16Detroit (204.0)HorzH68-74L0%0.0
2-20Wright St. (146.0)HorzA67-64L0%0.0
2-25Cleveland St. (278.0)HorzA63-58L0%0.0
2-27Youngstown St. (275.0)HorzA94-75L0%0.0
3-5Milwaukee (173.0)HorzN86-69L0%0.0